As numerous supporters in the UK concentrate on club season-opening fortunes or debate forthcoming fall test matches, the battle for World Cup 2027 qualification continues at full pace.
Chile earned their second consecutive spot at the competition with a sensational qualifying win over Samoa recently, leaving only one place left to be claimed for Australia by 2027. At the same time, the Paraguayan side surprised Brazil by twenty points in the first leg of their playoff.
The return match is scheduled this Saturday in the Brazilian city, close to São Paulo, as Brazil's squad aims to emulate their women's achievement and qualify for the first time.
Whether Paraguay completes a surprise aggregate victory, or Brazil recovers after head coach their coach's recent dismissal, the lineup for next month's Dubai qualification tournament will then be finalized. The Namibian team, the Belgian squad, and the Samoan side have already secured spots for the Middle Eastern showdown from 8-18 November.
Several other nations have also secured their spots. Hong Kong China sealed first-time World Cup entry after beating Korea by a large margin in July, and the Zimbabwean squad will make a comeback to rugby union's most prestigious stage for the first time in over three decades after winning the Rugby Africa Cup.
The consequence of Chile's qualifying triumph means that Los Condores will face Italy for the first time in November during the fall test series, replacing Samoa who are obligated to participate in the Dubai tournament.
World Rugby's CEO called Chile an "thrilling and rapidly rising force" in confirming the upcoming match in the Italian city. As local rugby markets seek larger crowds, rugby in Chile is buoyant. A capacity crowd of over 20,000 saw the playoff victory in Viña del Mar, and manager Pablo Lemoine has led the squad on an improving path since his appointment in 2018.
The fifty-year-old ex- Uruguayan prop has been making an impact for decades: signed by the English club in the 1990s, he famously broke through the English defense to score at the 2003 global tournament.
His influence as head coach has been similarly powerful: Chile have climbed to seventeenth place, their best ranking. At the last tournament in Europe, they were beaten in all matches, allowing 215 points and scoring 27, including a heavy defeat against the English team.
However, they proudly found the positive aspects, and following the tournament draw in Australia on 3 December, Lemoine can begin planning seriously. They hosted the Scottish team last year, losing 52-11 before twenty-four thousand supporters, and while they were beaten over both matches by the Uruguayan side in the initial 2027 playoff, they managed a narrow away victory in the Uruguayan capital.
Samoa, meanwhile, have participated in all World Cup for decades, but are presently sitting in 16th place in the men's rankings. They were without a victory in the recent regional tournament, resulting in qualifying disappointment against Chile, and the requirement to meet teams like Belgium brings further challenge for the proud rugby nation.
Apart from individual nations' fortunes, it is important to consider how changed the larger tournament will look in the next edition. For the first time, there will be a round of 16 with six groups of four rather than four pools of five teams. Pool-stage jeopardy is significantly reduced because the top four third-place sides will also advance.
The hosts, the Australian team, are now placed seventh in the world, meaning they would miss out on top seeding and could meet either the Springboks, the All Blacks, the Irish, the French, England, or Argentina in Pool A. They may climb into the top six during a packed autumn schedule, though: England, the Italian side, Ireland, and France are their fixtures, with a game against Japan in Tokyo additionally planned for October 25th.
The Welsh team, meanwhile, are teetering in twelfth place, with Japan behind, and the consequences of falling to thirteenth and into the third seeding group are potentially significant.
Another fresh aspect for 2027 is the presence of five nations from the American continent: the Argentine team, the Uruguayan side, the United States, Canada, and Chile – with either Paraguay or Brazil potentially making it six. From World Rugby's viewpoint, engagement from the Americas is positive, especially with the 2031 tournament set to be hosted by the United States, and the selection process for the 2035 edition was initiated last month.
First things first, though. The return match of Brazil versus Paraguay prepares a four-team Dubai shootout, combined with a potential rankings shake-up throughout Europe in November. Regardless of how things pan out, Chile's successful qualification for a second Rugby World Cup has undoubtedly made them as a clear triumphant example.
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